Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 10.704379 12.579093 14.634215 17.047480 19.796485 22.823058 26.399796
2025-04-20 8.001151 10.649610 13.864199 18.017782 23.203266 29.421427 37.395383
2025-04-27 6.514578 9.567283 13.577517 19.147703 26.587219 36.073026 48.956208
2025-05-04 5.318437 8.507064 12.989344 19.604099 28.941983 41.451910 59.233362
2025-05-11 4.318974 7.474031 12.190938 19.538930 30.428552 45.653953 68.150802
2025-05-18 3.497390 6.522865 11.315697 19.164744 31.322777 48.985611 75.996808
2025-05-25 2.850743 5.713595 10.505255 18.727887 31.994217 51.950970 83.429588
2025-06-01 2.335977 5.021557 9.760762 18.261716 32.509565 54.644665 90.562528
2025-06-08 1.851241 4.280321 8.806538 17.298055 32.082509 55.794779 95.354760
2025-06-15 1.682275 4.118320 8.853142 18.046421 34.520609 61.581335 107.668885
2025-06-22 1.490269 3.868919 8.695080 18.395258 36.284018 66.369679 118.657302
2025-06-29 1.246616 3.454800 8.151981 17.954524 36.599264 68.755604 125.854382
2025-07-06 0.981951 2.947900 7.375853 17.040245 36.103977 69.963490 131.600397
2025-07-13 0.899096 2.869426 7.503156 17.960508 39.149940 77.602099 148.874147
2025-07-20 0.837592 2.831714 7.714150 19.077856 42.676081 86.342387 168.607931
2025-07-27 0.741295 2.673495 7.620558 19.531060 44.934140 92.940190 184.977379
2025-08-03 0.631071 2.442914 7.311698 19.465783 46.131914 97.652190 198.248354
2025-08-10 0.524421 2.188951 6.895070 19.092751 46.643365 101.086386 209.375337
2025-08-17 0.433269 1.953744 6.479302 18.657301 46.964677 104.153759 219.975431
2025-08-24 0.356576 1.740148 6.077338 18.192647 47.162817 106.970598 230.239345
2025-08-31 0.278656 1.489174 5.513132 17.232142 46.144715 107.265106 235.669158
2025-09-07 0.258249 1.460418 5.603267 17.978055 49.088658 115.794273 257.533886
2025-09-14 0.230243 1.388855 5.547340 18.325753 51.129621 122.575457 276.297536